Tips and Strategies
for Baccarat
Baccarat is a game of pure luck. The game is played using
a fixed set of rules for the player and the dealer, and
these rules represent the best odds of winning for both
the player and for the house. Calculations have been made
that show the odds of the player winning are 44.62%, losing
45.85%, and 9.53% to tie. Thus it would seem to be to your
advantage to bet on the house winning on every hand.
To even out the odds the house charges a commission (usually
5%) on winning player bets placed on the house. How should
this change the way a player wagers?
Factoring in the commission it turns out that you are
still slightly better off by betting that the house
will win. This assumes the commission is the usual 5%, however,
should the commission change then you have to change strategy.
If the commission is less than 5% then it is always to your
advantage to bet with the house, while if the commission
is more than 5% it pays to bet on the player winning.
Removing the tie hands in the event there
is no payoff, the odds of the player winning are 49.32%
and for losing 50.68%. For various commissions we can calculate
the following average payoffs then, assuming 100 wagers
of $1 were made.
| 4% commission |
Betting on the player |
Betting with the house |
| Winning |
$49.32 |
| $50.68 * 96% |
$48.65
$49.32
($0.67) |
|
| Losing |
$50.68 |
| Difference |
($1.36) |
You lose less by betting with the
dealer.
| 5% commission |
Betting on the player |
Betting with the house |
| Winning |
$49.32 |
| $50.68 * 95% |
$48.15
$49.32
($1.17) |
|
| Losing |
$50.68 |
| Difference |
($1.36) |
You lose less by betting with the dealer.
| 6% commission |
Betting on the player |
Betting with the house |
| Winning |
$49.32 |
| $50.68 * 94% |
$47.64
$49.32
($1.68) |
|
| Losing |
$50.68 |
| Difference |
($1.36) |
You lose less by betting with the player.
Baccarat sometimes allows for a bet to be made for a tie,
and sometimes doesn't (mini baccarat typically played online
usually does). Although the odds of 8 to 1 may sound
appealing, it is considered one of the worst wagers in the
casino, so don't bother making this bet part of your baccarat
strategy.